Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.192204 0.216755 0.242672 0.272014 0.304250 0.338531 0.377684
2025-06-08 0.158124 0.190985 0.227616 0.271280 0.321704 0.377897 0.445035
2025-06-15 0.137261 0.175923 0.221076 0.277279 0.344902 0.423172 0.520106
2025-06-22 0.118354 0.160257 0.211326 0.277420 0.359891 0.458557 0.584590
2025-06-29 0.103190 0.147053 0.202657 0.277211 0.373318 0.491706 0.647068
2025-07-06 0.090832 0.135819 0.194979 0.276926 0.385727 0.523312 0.708242
2025-07-13 0.081868 0.127987 0.190713 0.280197 0.402191 0.560080 0.776810
2025-07-20 0.075657 0.123211 0.189903 0.287602 0.423970 0.604114 0.855984
2025-07-27 0.068715 0.116559 0.185725 0.289714 0.438211 0.638274 0.922944
2025-08-03 0.063813 0.112399 0.184620 0.295795 0.457849 0.680042 1.001157
2025-08-10 0.059942 0.109397 0.184852 0.303574 0.479925 0.725627 1.085761
2025-08-17 0.054223 0.102828 0.179089 0.301897 0.487983 0.751627 1.143768
2025-08-24 0.049116 0.096908 0.174072 0.301303 0.497989 0.781355 1.209014
2025-08-31 0.044479 0.091295 0.169061 0.300283 0.507122 0.809968 1.273451
2025-09-07 0.041757 0.088767 0.168830 0.306682 0.527660 0.855734 1.363860
2025-09-14 0.038165 0.084261 0.164904 0.306762 0.538239 0.886942 1.433790
2025-09-21 0.034884 0.079976 0.160978 0.306492 0.548069 0.917138 1.502892
2025-09-28 0.031923 0.075978 0.157209 0.306158 0.557606 0.946992 1.572120
2025-10-05 0.029805 0.073427 0.155806 0.309701 0.573446 0.986865 1.657406
2025-10-12 0.028472 0.072348 0.156991 0.317739 0.596908 1.039175 1.762930
2025-10-19 0.026505 0.069707 0.155032 0.320029 0.610743 1.076631 1.846415
2025-10-26 0.025215 0.068396 0.155493 0.326632 0.632031 1.126420 1.950194
2025-11-02 0.024220 0.067638 0.156951 0.335077 0.656705 1.182226 2.064656